Why Fusion May Succeed Only by Abandoning Elegance

(And Why That Does Not Contradict an EM-Realist View of Physics)

For decades, nuclear fusion has been pursued as one of the most elegant dreams in physics: a controlled imitation of stellar processes, realized on Earth through immaculate theory, symmetric equations, and near-perfect confinement. The tokamak — a magnetically confined, doughnut-shaped plasma — became the embodiment of that ideal. It is beautiful, mathematically disciplined, and endlessly refined.

It has also, so far, failed to become an energy source.

Recent results from China’s Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak (EAST), which demonstrated stable plasma operation well beyond the long-assumed Greenwald density limit, are real and technically meaningful. They show that some limits once treated as fundamental were in fact empirical and conservative. Yet they do not fundamentally alter the broader picture: fusion is not failing because of a single missing insight, but because of a deeper mismatch between elegance and engineering reality.

What may be changing now is not fusion’s physics, but fusion’s philosophy.


The elegance trap

Tokamaks rely on a delicate balance:

  • high temperature,
  • sufficient plasma density,
  • long confinement times,
  • and exquisite stability.

This balance is achieved by allowing the plasma itself to carry a large current, which contributes to its magnetic confinement. The price is instability: disruptions, tearing modes, edge-localized modes — phenomena that are not bugs, but structural features of the approach.

The entire history of tokamak research can be read as an attempt to discipline plasma: better feedback, better shaping, better materials, better algorithms. Each step succeeds — locally. None collapses the overall difficulty.

The result is an increasingly refined machine that works, but only just, and only under constant supervision.


Stellarators: when geometry replaces control

A quiet but philosophically important alternative is the stellarator. Unlike tokamaks, stellarators generate all confining magnetic fields externally. The plasma does not need to carry a strong internal current.

This design choice is decisive:

  • No large plasma current → no major disruptions.
  • Steady-state operation becomes natural, not forced.
  • Stability is largely geometric, not dynamic.

The price is paid upfront: stellarators require extraordinarily complex three-dimensional coil geometries, designed numerically rather than analytically. They are inelegant to look at and impossible to describe with chalkboard symmetry.

Europe’s flagship device, Wendelstein 7-X, embodies this philosophy. It trades conceptual purity for operational robustness.

In other words: instead of trying to make plasma behave, stellarators assume it won’t, and build the constraints directly into the machine.


Hybrid confinement: engineering without apology

An even more radical departure abandons the idea of long-lived equilibrium altogether.

So-called hybrid confinement schemes — including magnetized target fusion, pulsed compression, and revived Z-pinch concepts — accept that plasma may be unstable, leaky, and short-lived. They do not attempt to suppress these features indefinitely. They aim to outrun them.

The logic is brutally simple:

  • Magnetize the plasma just enough to reduce losses,
  • compress it violently,
  • allow fusion to occur briefly,
  • repeat.

These approaches are messy. They lack the visual and mathematical elegance of tokamaks. They resemble industrial processes more than laboratory experiments. Unsurprisingly, they are often pursued by private ventures rather than national megaprojects.

Yet they embody a hard-earned insight: perfection is optional; timing is not.


From physics to epistemology

What unites stellarators and hybrid schemes is not a specific technology, but a shift in attitude.

Tokamaks emerged from a worldview in which:

  • symmetry is virtue,
  • equilibrium is king,
  • and control is always preferable to constraint.

The newer approaches assume instead that:

  • plasma is inherently unruly,
  • stability is better designed than enforced,
  • and losses can be tolerated if cycles are short and systems resilient.

This is not a retreat from physics. It is a rebalancing between physics and engineering — and perhaps a recognition that the most elegant equations do not always correspond to the most workable machines.


A sober conclusion

Fusion may yet succeed. If it does, it is increasingly unlikely to arrive as a triumph of pristine theory or a single, immaculate design. It may come instead from devices that look awkward, operate brutally, and offend aesthetic sensibilities trained on blackboards rather than workshops.

If so, the irony would be fitting.

Physics taught us what is possible.
Engineering will decide what is tolerable.

And fusion, if it ever becomes real, may do so only by abandoning the elegance that once made it so appealing.

Footnote: ITER and Wendelstein 7-X — two different bets

It is worth noting that ITER and Wendelstein 7-X were never intended to answer the same question. ITER represents the culmination of the tokamak approach: a large, current-driven plasma scaled up to test whether fusion power gain (Q ≈ 10) can be achieved under reactor-like conditions. Its success criteria are therefore narrow and essentially binary.

Wendelstein 7-X, by contrast, was designed to test a different premise altogether: whether magnetic confinement can be achieved without relying on a large plasma current, by encoding stability directly into magnetic geometry. It does not aim for energy gain, but for steady-state operation and reduced instability. In that limited but explicit sense, W7-X can be considered “successful” relative to its goals, whereas ITER remains an open—and increasingly institutional—experiment.

The contrast is not primarily technological, but epistemological: ITER extends an elegant solution to ever larger scales; W7-X interrogates whether elegance itself is the constraint.

Author’s Note

This article was written with extensive assistance from a large language model (ChatGPT, OpenAI), which served as a structured conversational and drafting tool. Substantial portions of the text — including its organization, phrasing, and synthesis — were generated through iterative human–AI interaction.

The use of AI in this context should not be read as a delegation of judgment or responsibility. On the contrary: all arguments presented here were explicitly reviewed, challenged, and accepted (or rejected) by the human author, and remain fully consistent with his long-standing realist interpretation of physics, in particular with respect to electromagnetism and the non-ontological status of quantum formalism.

AI systems do not hold beliefs, defend positions, or bear responsibility. They can, however, function as powerful epistemic instruments: mirrors, stress-tests, and accelerators of articulation. Any errors, misjudgments, or contentious interpretations in this text remain entirely the responsibility of the author.

In that sense, this note both limits and affirms responsibility: it limits it with respect to authorship mechanics, and affirms it with respect to intellectual commitment.

Cold and hot fusion

Just two or three news items:

  1. The UK stopped its JET nuclear fusion programme. It is unclear whether some other programme will follow it. I find it significant that the UK did not decide to join the ITER project. I am a non-believer, so I interpret it as well-founded skepticism. Recreating the conditions that prevail in the Sun is probably not possible on Earth. Maybe it will be possible 100 years from now. 🙂
  2. One of Europe’s leading cold fusion scientists – cold fusion hardly gets any attention nowadays – updated an overview article on experimental results in the field of cold fusion (yes, I know this is totally unrelated to hot fusion, but so here we are). I should read it, but time and energy are limited in a man’s life, and I think I should bring this hobby of mine to a close.
  3. I launched a ‘discussion thread’ on light-matter conversion on RG. There is good stuff on that. I remain skeptical on ‘photonic’ or ‘charge-without-charge’ models, however. I am surprised Dr. Hestenes gives this a lot of credibility so, perhaps, I should change my mind on it. This ‘Quantum Bicycle Society‘ is quite interesting (and counts very respectable scientists in its ranks) and (also) seems to advocate for an all-encompassing ‘photonic’ or ‘charge-without-charge’ unified theory. Again, I remain skeptical. 🙂

Cold and hot fusion: just hot air?

I just finished a very short paper recapping the basics of my model of the nuclear force. I wrote it a bit as a reaction to a rather disappointing exchange that is still going on between a few researchers who seem to firmly believe some crook who claims he can produce smaller hydrogen atoms (hydrinos) and get energy out of them. I wrote about my disappointment on one of my other blogs (I also write on politics and more general matters). Any case, the thing I want to do here, is to firmly state my position in regard to cold and hot fusion: I do not believe in either. Theoretically, yes. Of course. But, practically speaking, no. And that’s a resounding no!

The illustration below (from Wikimedia Commons) shows how fusion actually happens in our Sun (I wrote more about that in one of my early papers). As you can see, there are several pathways, and all of these pathways are related through critical masses of radiation and feedback loops. So it is not like nuclear fission, which (mainly) relies on cascaded neutron production. No. It is much more complicated, and you would have to create and contain a small star on Earth to recreate the conditions that are prevalent in the Sun. Containing a relatively small amount of hydrogen plasma in incredibly energy-intensive electromagnetic fields will not do the trick. First, the reaction will peter out. Second, the reaction will yield no net energy: the plasma and electromagnetic fields that are needed to contain the plasma will suck everything up, and much more than that. So, yes, The ITER project is a huge waste of taxpayers’ money.

As for cold fusion, I believe the small experiments showing anomalous heat reactions (or low-energy nuclear reactions as these phenomena are also referred to) are real (see my very first blog post on these) but (1) researchers have done a poor job at replicating these experiments consistently, (2) have failed to provide a firm theoretical basis for those reactions, and (3) whatever theory there is, also strongly hints we should not hope to ever get net energy out of it. This explains why public funding for cold fusion is very limited. Furthermore, scientists who continue to support frauds like Dr. Mills will soon erase whatever credibility smaller research labs in this field have painstakingly built up. So, no, it won’t happen. Too bad, because LENR research itself is quite interesting, and may yield more insights than the next mega-project of CERN, SLAC and what have you. :-/

Post scriptum: On the search for hydrinos (hypothetical small hydrogen), following exchange with a scientist working for a major accelerator lab in the US – part of a much longer one – is probably quite revealing. When one asks why it has not been discovered yet, the answer is invariably the same: we need a new accelerator project for that. I’ll hide the name of the researcher by calling him X.

Dear Jean Louis – They cannot be produced in the Sun, as electron has to be very relativistic. According to my present calculation one has to have a total energy of Etotal ~34.945 MeV. Proton of the same velocity has to have total energy Etotal ~64.165 GeV. One can get such energies in very energetic evens in Universe. On Earth, it would take building special modifications of existing accelerators. This is why it has not been discovered so far.

Best regards, [X]

From: Jean Louis Van Belle <jeanlouisvanbelle@outlook.com>
Date: Wednesday, March 31, 2021 at 9:24 AM
To: [X]
Cc: [Two other LENR/CF researchers]
Subject: Calculations and observations…

Interesting work, but hydrino-like structures should show a spectrum with gross lines, split in finer lines and hyperfine lines (spin coupling between nucleon(s) and (deep) electron. If hydrinos exist, they should be produced en masse in the Sun. Is there any evidence from unusual spectral lines? Until then, I think of the deep electron as the negative charge in the neutron or in the deuteron nucleus. JL